Blueprint for Supernova
Well, it has been nearly a month since my last post. A good portion of the month I have spent playing 2/4 Triple Draw with mixed but primarily positive results. I would most likely continue playing it, however I find I cannot play a mix of NLH and TD successfully. They are just so different to play. It must be one or the other.
It really has been another up and down month but the oscillations seem to be getting smaller. Usually that indicates an uptrend in the future as the major negative days are minimized and the smaller but more numerous winning days begin to dominate.
The last 2 months of stagnation have gotten me wondering what the future holds for my poker. Can I break out and be successful. Can I build on 3 $2500+ years? Is there real money to be made?
Well, one thing that did happen in February that I have not mentioned is I was able to go Platinum Star and PS once again, building on what I did in December. Being Platinum means approximately US$500/month in fpps. If I maintain platinum I will eventually go Supernova late in the year. But the problem has been that it has been a struggle to make platinum every month. Therefore I have formulated a plan to go Supernova more quickly and to make enough fpp's per month to earn US$1500/month!! This in only 2.5hrs/day which is my current amount of play.
How??
Currently I am 4 tabling .50/1 and barely +ev. .50/1 gives approx. 32vpps/hr. Multiplied by 4 tables is about 128vpp and 2.5 hours is about 320vpps per day. In a month that is about 10000vpps. At platinum that is about 25000+ fpps a month.... 4x32x2.5x30=10000 thenx2.5 is about 25000. 62000fpps=$1000US. So just under $500/month..
My plan is to continue 4 tabling .50/1 thru March. By then I will earn enough fpps to get a 2nd $1k gift certificate from Future Shop. I will use the FS cash to purchase dual 22" monitors and any hardware necessary to run them.
I expect to move to the next phase no later than May1st. At this time I will begin 8 tabling .50/1. This will get me around 19500vpp a month. or close to 49000fpps/month or $800US/mth. I hope to continue 8 tabling .50/1 for about 4 months. Depending on how my bankroll is doing I will then supplement it. Also by the end of August I should be now a SUPERNOVA! When I supplement my bankroll with money converted from fpps using $215 sit and go satellites...whew, I will then move to 8 tabling $1/$2!! 1/2 tables pay out approximately 43 vpps/hour. Combined with my Supernova status and the 3.5 fpp bonus that goes with it my new calculations are awesome...
8 tables x 43vpp/hour x 2.5 hours =860vpps/day.....860vpps x 30 days/mth x 3.5 fpps/vpp =90300fpps/mth!!
90300fpps/mth x 12 mths = 1,083,600/yr! Remember 62000fpps =$1kUS
So by 8 tabling 1/2 for 2.5 hours/day I estimate my total income strictly from fpps to be $17500US!
I have already put this plan in motion. I believe the biggest roadblock that could happen is the adjustment to 8 tables at 1/2. However I have 6 tabled before successfully over short periods on a 17' monitor with overlap in the past.
Even if I prove out to be -ev at 1/2 while 8 tabling I believe the fpp's earned while doing so will far outweigh any loss.....
My hope of course is that I will prove out to be +ev at 1/2 and I am actually confident that if I am able to concentrate on my game that I will prove this out. Of course the other thing that can happen which probably will happen is that I will end up playing fewer than 2.5 hours per day while 8 tabling. I expect my hours on the tables to decline a bit when I move to 8 tables. We shall see! If things go to plan I shall be able to make a withdrawal by the end of the year or nearly $5000US and sometime in 2008 I will try to move up again to 2/4.
Of course the other goals are towards the WSOP and winning at least one seat. So far I am slightly ahead in the satellite money but have yet to play a qualifier. I plan to play as many $2, $5 and $7 rebuy satellites as possible. I plan to use the $2 and $7 satellites to pay for the $5 satellites to the $160 qualifiers. I have played 3 of those and yet to win a seat to the qualifier yet. I plan to play all of these $160 DS qualifiers that i win seats into. They appear to be my best shot into the WSOP. My other option is to play $15 DS into the $650 qualifiers. It will probably depend on my mood. I won one of those last year but did not play the qualifier....This year I plan to take many shots at qualifying. We shall see...
It really has been another up and down month but the oscillations seem to be getting smaller. Usually that indicates an uptrend in the future as the major negative days are minimized and the smaller but more numerous winning days begin to dominate.
The last 2 months of stagnation have gotten me wondering what the future holds for my poker. Can I break out and be successful. Can I build on 3 $2500+ years? Is there real money to be made?
Well, one thing that did happen in February that I have not mentioned is I was able to go Platinum Star and PS once again, building on what I did in December. Being Platinum means approximately US$500/month in fpps. If I maintain platinum I will eventually go Supernova late in the year. But the problem has been that it has been a struggle to make platinum every month. Therefore I have formulated a plan to go Supernova more quickly and to make enough fpp's per month to earn US$1500/month!! This in only 2.5hrs/day which is my current amount of play.
How??
Currently I am 4 tabling .50/1 and barely +ev. .50/1 gives approx. 32vpps/hr. Multiplied by 4 tables is about 128vpp and 2.5 hours is about 320vpps per day. In a month that is about 10000vpps. At platinum that is about 25000+ fpps a month.... 4x32x2.5x30=10000 thenx2.5 is about 25000. 62000fpps=$1000US. So just under $500/month..
My plan is to continue 4 tabling .50/1 thru March. By then I will earn enough fpps to get a 2nd $1k gift certificate from Future Shop. I will use the FS cash to purchase dual 22" monitors and any hardware necessary to run them.
I expect to move to the next phase no later than May1st. At this time I will begin 8 tabling .50/1. This will get me around 19500vpp a month. or close to 49000fpps/month or $800US/mth. I hope to continue 8 tabling .50/1 for about 4 months. Depending on how my bankroll is doing I will then supplement it. Also by the end of August I should be now a SUPERNOVA! When I supplement my bankroll with money converted from fpps using $215 sit and go satellites...whew, I will then move to 8 tabling $1/$2!! 1/2 tables pay out approximately 43 vpps/hour. Combined with my Supernova status and the 3.5 fpp bonus that goes with it my new calculations are awesome...
8 tables x 43vpp/hour x 2.5 hours =860vpps/day.....860vpps x 30 days/mth x 3.5 fpps/vpp =90300fpps/mth!!
90300fpps/mth x 12 mths = 1,083,600/yr! Remember 62000fpps =$1kUS
So by 8 tabling 1/2 for 2.5 hours/day I estimate my total income strictly from fpps to be $17500US!
I have already put this plan in motion. I believe the biggest roadblock that could happen is the adjustment to 8 tables at 1/2. However I have 6 tabled before successfully over short periods on a 17' monitor with overlap in the past.
Even if I prove out to be -ev at 1/2 while 8 tabling I believe the fpp's earned while doing so will far outweigh any loss.....
My hope of course is that I will prove out to be +ev at 1/2 and I am actually confident that if I am able to concentrate on my game that I will prove this out. Of course the other thing that can happen which probably will happen is that I will end up playing fewer than 2.5 hours per day while 8 tabling. I expect my hours on the tables to decline a bit when I move to 8 tables. We shall see! If things go to plan I shall be able to make a withdrawal by the end of the year or nearly $5000US and sometime in 2008 I will try to move up again to 2/4.
Of course the other goals are towards the WSOP and winning at least one seat. So far I am slightly ahead in the satellite money but have yet to play a qualifier. I plan to play as many $2, $5 and $7 rebuy satellites as possible. I plan to use the $2 and $7 satellites to pay for the $5 satellites to the $160 qualifiers. I have played 3 of those and yet to win a seat to the qualifier yet. I plan to play all of these $160 DS qualifiers that i win seats into. They appear to be my best shot into the WSOP. My other option is to play $15 DS into the $650 qualifiers. It will probably depend on my mood. I won one of those last year but did not play the qualifier....This year I plan to take many shots at qualifying. We shall see...
posted by DonJ at 12:27 AM
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